Readers Question: What is the relationship/theory between the OCR (Official Cash Rate) and Inflation? The Official Cash Rate is the interest rate the New Zealand Reserve Bank use to control inflation. It is very similar to the base rate used by the MPC, Bank of England. Graph Interest Rates New Zealand Because New Zealand commercial …
Readers Question: Can you please differentiate between the causes of once-off inflation and sustained inflation? A temporary period of inflation, also called one-off inflation, may be caused by: Temporary inflation in 2008 and 2011. Rising in tax rates. Suppose the chancellor announces a 10% rise in fuel duty. This means prices will rise. But, next …
Readers Question: What credit can the adoption of central bank independence take for the relative stability of the UK business cycle since 1997? The MPC, Bank of England, are responsible for setting interest rates and determining UK monetary policy. They seek to keep inflation close to the government’s target of CPI 2% +/-1 % Between …
House Prices – What Happens Next?Watch this video on YouTube Here is a graph that often surprises me. If we adjust UK house prices for inflation, they are the same level as 2003. In other words, if you bought a house in 2003, ignore the effects of inflation, then the average house hasn’t increased in …
UK Households Set to be POORER by 2030Watch this video on YouTube After 15 years of stagnating living standards, a new report suggests that after housing costs, real disposable income are likely to continue falling for the next five years. The decline will be felt by all income groups, but those on benefits, poorer households, …
US Debt is Set to Massively INCREASE – Does it Matter?Watch this video on YouTube As a share of GDP, US debt is forecast to rise from the current level of 100% of GDP towards 180% by 2050. This is unprecedented – higher than the second world war. However, the recent budget resolution to …
It’s not been a good week for the UK economy with the Bank of England downgrading economic growth and upgrading inflation forecasts. We’re heading for stagflation, the worst of both worlds. If you wanted more bad news, the Bank of England warned that productivity growth may actually be even worse than the pretty dismal statistics …
In the past four years, the German economy has experienced a torrid time. Whilst America has boomed, Germany has experienced the worst recession in decades, with the shock return of high inflation and falling real wages. How Germany Damaged its Own EconomyWatch this video on YouTube In the 2012 Euro debt crisis, it was southern …